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Testing for contagion from oil and developed markets to emerging markets : an empirical analysis using systemic risk parameter

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Date
2020
Author
Cayón Fallon, Edgardo
Sarmiento Sabogal, Julio Alejandro

Citación

       
TY - GEN T1 - Testing for contagion from oil and developed markets to emerging markets : an empirical analysis using systemic risk parameter UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10726/5073 PB - Centrum Badan Socjologicznych AB - ER - @misc{10726_5073, author = {Cayón Fallon Edgardo and Sarmiento Sabogal Julio Alejandro}, title = {Testing for contagion from oil and developed markets to emerging markets : an empirical analysis using systemic risk parameter}, language = {eng}, orcid = {Cayón Fallon, Edgardo [0000-0002-4113-5521]}, orcid = {Sarmiento Sabogal, Julio Alejandro [0000-0001-5986-4813]}, scopus = {Cayón Fallon, Edgardo [56395390800]}, scopus = {Sarmiento Sabogal, Julio Alejandro [57196465468]}, year1 = {2023-06-21T22:23:03Z}, year2 = {2023-06-21T22:23:03Z}, abstract2 = {This paper analyses the volatility transmission from changes in prices in oil and developed stock markets to emerging markets. We test for volatility contagion from these two factors while allowing for interaction between them in order to account for diversification effects using the M-GARCH framework in a traditional two-factor market model. We find evidence that for all the periods under observation the covariance between developed markets and oil prices is negative. This negative covariance leads to a diversification effect, which lowers the impact of developed market prices on the systemic risk of emerging markets and gives support for the decoupling hypothesis concerning emerging market volatility during the beginning of the global financial crisis (GFC).}, instname = {instname:Colegio de Estudios Superiores de Administración – CESA}, reponame = {reponame:Biblioteca Digital – CESA}, typedrive = {info:eu-repo/semantics/article}, url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10726/5073} }RT Generic T1 Testing for contagion from oil and developed markets to emerging markets : an empirical analysis using systemic risk parameter LK http://hdl.handle.net/10726/5073 PB Centrum Badan Socjologicznych AB OL Spanish (121)
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Abstract
This paper analyses the volatility transmission from changes in prices in oil and developed stock markets to emerging markets. We test for volatility contagion from these two factors while allowing for interaction between them in order to account for diversification effects using the M-GARCH framework in a traditional two-factor market model. We find evidence that for all the periods under observation the covariance between developed markets and oil prices is negative. This negative covariance leads to a diversification effect, which lowers the impact of developed market prices on the systemic risk of emerging markets and gives support for the decoupling hypothesis concerning emerging market volatility during the beginning of the global financial crisis (GFC).
Full text
https://www.jois.eu/?605,en_testing-for-contagion-from-oil-and-developed-markets-to-emerging-markets-an-empirical-analysis-using-systemic-risk-parameter
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10726/5073
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  • Artículos y borradores de administración – Working papers [230]

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